Rising oil prices dragged down commodity demand for currency hedging, boosting the yen 极品风流农民

Oil prices continued to fall down commodity currency hedging demand to boost the yen FX168 news in February 2nd 22:30 to February 3rd 06:30 review of currencies: the euro area unemployment rate in December fell to four year low, which for the European Central Bank is a surprise, the bank is considering to increase the monthly monetary stimulus to fight off the risk of deflation. However, the eurozone’s producer price index in December unexpectedly fell by 0.8%, exceeding the expected decline by 0.6% and the previous value by 0.2%. Nevertheless, due to the renewed risk aversion in the day, the euro has been boosted by the need to buy and has restarted its gains after a short fall against the dollar during the session. As oil prices plummeted again today, adding to the global economic slowdown worries, because of possible reaction of global oil demand decline, negative impact on the company’s potential energy will be a drag on the credit market. The European and American stock markets also fell across the board, as the market demand for hedge again rebounded, leading to the risk assets sold off. The dollar against the yen on Tuesday will be recorded the largest single day decline in more than six weeks. The BOJ rose to a six week high of 121.700 on Friday after the unexpected announcement of negative interest rates by the Central Bank of japan. In addition, the weak oil price may lead to more bankruptcies in the energy sector, which may be more volatile than the broader credit markets. While commodity currencies are also under pressure, the dollar rose against the Australian dollar, NZD and Canadian dollar, and rose by more than 1% against the nzd. Focus and benchmark: economic data 18:00 eurozone December retail sales (monthly rate) 21:15 U.S. January ADP employment change (million) 23:00 U.S. January ISM non manufacturing price index 23:00 U.S. January ISM non Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ index 23:00 U.S. January ISM non manufacturing employment index 23:30 U.S. EIA crude oil inventories last week (change million barrels) (to 0129) 08:00 events in Christchurch New Zealand Fed President Wheeler delivered a speech in Christchurch Tokyo 10:30 Japan central bank governor Kuroda Higashihiko in Japan’s Kyodo news organization’s activities on speech analysis of major currencies: the euro dollar: the time period to 1.0921, first fell sharply to 1.0892, then the shock rebound late in fluctuation near 1.0915. Although the year policy deviation will continue to dominate the dollar down, but the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Progressive Liberal way more cautious of the Federal Reserve (FED) may make the exchange rate will fall sharply. From the technical point of view, MACD green kinetic energy column expanded slightly, KDJ index midline near the head down, showing that the action on the exchange rate can begin to subside. Preliminary support for 1.0929 uplink resistance, and further resistance at 1.0970, a key resistance at 1.1028; exchange rate of initial support is located downstream of 1.0830, further support at 1.0772, but the key support at 1.0731. Pound sterling: this period opens at 1.4396

油价续跌拖累商品货币 避险需求高涨提振日元   FX168讯 2月2日22:30至2月3日06:30汇市综述:欧元区失业率在12月份下降至四年新低,这对于欧洲央行来说可谓一个意外之喜,该行正考虑加大每个月的货币刺激规模以击退通缩风险。不过,日内公布的欧元区12月生产者物价指数月率却意外下滑0.8%,超过预期的下滑0.6%和前值的下滑0.2%。尽管如此,由于日内避险情绪重燃,欧元受到买需提振,时段内兑美元短时下挫后重启涨势。   由于油价今日再度暴跌,加重了对全球经济放缓的忧虑,因可能反应了全球石油需求下降,对能源公司潜在的负面影响将拖累信贷市场。而欧美股市也全线下挫,因市场避险需求再度回升导致风险资产惨遭抛售。美元兑日元周二势将录得逾六周来最大单日跌幅。上周五在日本央行(BOJ)意外宣布实施负利率后美元兑日元一度升至121.700的六周高位。此外,油价的疲弱可能导致能源行业更多的破产,这可能较广泛信贷市场动荡。而商品货币也承压下行,美元兑澳元、纽元和加元等商品货币全线上扬,兑纽元最新涨逾1%。   焦点、风向标:   经济数据   18:00 欧元区12月零售销售(月率)   21:15 美国1月ADP就业人数变动(万人)   23:00 美国1月ISM非制造业物价指数   23:00 美国1月ISM非制造业采购经理人指数   23:00 美国1月ISM非制造业就业指数   23:30 美国上周EIA原油库存变化(万桶)(至0129)   事件   08:00 克莱斯特彻奇 新西兰联储主席惠勒在克莱斯特彻奇发表讲话   10:30 东京 日本央行行长黑田东彦在日本共同社组织的活动上发表讲话   主要货币走势分析:   欧元 美元:该时段开于1.0921,时段内先是大幅下挫至1.0892,随后震荡回升,尾盘波动于1.0915附近。虽然年内政策背离情况仍将主导汇价下行,但是欧洲央行(ECB)渐进的宽松方式以及更为谨慎的美联储(FED)可能使得汇价不会大幅下挫。从技术面看,MACD绿色动能柱小幅扩大,KDJ指标中线附近拐头向下,显示汇价上行动能开始消退。上行初步支阻力于1.0929,进一步阻力位于1.0970,更关键阻力位于1.1028;汇价下行的初步支撑位于1.0830,进一步支撑位于1.0772,更关键支撑位于1.0731。   英镑 美元:该时段开于1.4396,时段内震荡上行,最高触及1.4425,最低触及1.4363,尾盘交投于1.4409附近。尽管英国1月Markit CIPS建筑业采购经理人指数(PMI)由57.8跌至55.0,且低于调查的预估中值57.6,但英国制造业年初开局依然强劲。从技术面看,MACD红色动能柱继续拉伸,KDJ指标高位走缓,表明上行动能仍在释放。汇价上行的初步阻力位于1.4508,进一步阻力位于1.4584,更关键阻力位于1.4724;汇价下行的初步支撑位于1.4292,进一步支撑位于1.4152,更关键支撑位于1.4076。   美元 日元:该时段开于120.57,时段内一路下跌,尾盘小幅下跌至119.94附近。油价和股市齐跌刺激避险需求重燃,避险货币受到青睐,汇价上行势头受阻。从技术面看,MACD红色动能柱小幅收缩,KDJ指标高位向下,预示汇价或进入下行修正行情。汇价上行初步阻力位于121.39,进一步阻力位于121.82,更关键阻力位于122.17;汇价下行的初步支撑位于120.61,进一步支撑位于120.26,更关键支撑位于119.83。 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: